Bundesliga
HSV vs
Mainz
30%Home win
24%Draw
46%Away win
Mainz are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — HSV 30%, draw 24%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — HSV 1.5 · Mainz 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 64%Under 36%
Both teams to score
Yes 65%No 35%
Mainz 1–1 HSVFeb 2026
HSV 4–0 MainzOct 2025