Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano vs
Real Madrid
29%Home win
23%Draw
47%Away win
Real Madrid are narrow favourites (47%, under half) — Rayo Vallecano 29%, draw 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Rayo Vallecano 1.3 · Real Madrid 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 57%Under 43%
Both teams to score
Yes 59%No 41%
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo VallecanoFeb 2026
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real MadridNov 2025
Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo VallecanoMar 2025
Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real MadridDec 2024
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real MadridFeb 2024
Real Madrid 0–0 Rayo VallecanoNov 2023