Primera Division
Athletic vs
Atleti
45%Home win
25%Draw
30%Away win
Athletic are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — draw 25%, Atleti 30%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Athletic 1.5 · Atleti 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 50%Under 50%
Both teams to score
Yes 53%No 47%
Atleti 3–2 AthleticApr 2026
Athletic 1–0 AtletiDec 2025
Atleti 1–0 AthleticMar 2025
Athletic 0–1 AtletiAug 2024
Atleti 3–1 AthleticApr 2024
Athletic 2–0 AtletiDec 2023