Championship
Middlesbrough vs
Derby County
49%Home win
26%Draw
24%Away win
Middlesbrough are narrow favourites (49%, under half) — draw 26%, Derby County 24%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Middlesbrough 1.6 · Derby County 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 48%Under 52%
Both teams to score
Yes 51%No 49%
Derby County 1–0 MiddlesbroughJan 2026
Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby CountyNov 2025
Middlesbrough 1–0 Derby CountyMar 2025
Derby County 1–0 MiddlesbroughAug 2024