Championship

Southampton vs
Derby County

57%Home win

23%Draw

21%Away win

We lean Southampton (57%) — draw 23%, Derby County 21%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Southampton 1.9 · Derby County 1.1

Over / Under 2.5

Over 59%Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%No 43%

Southampton 2–1 Derby CountyApr 2026

Derby County 1–1 SouthamptonOct 2025