Championship

Millwall vs
Derby County

43%Home win

29%Draw

28%Away win

Millwall are narrow favourites (43%, under half) — draw 29%, Derby County 28%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Millwall 1.3 · Derby County 1.0

Over / Under 2.5

Over 39%Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%No 55%

Millwall 1–0 Derby CountyMar 2026

Derby County 1–1 MillwallDec 2025

Derby County 0–1 MillwallFeb 2025

Millwall 1–1 Derby CountyOct 2024