Championship
Derby County vs
Stoke
50%Home win
27%Draw
23%Away win
Derby County are narrow favourites (50%, under half) — draw 27%, Stoke 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Derby County 1.5 · Stoke 0.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 43%Under 57%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
Derby County 2–0 StokeApr 2026
Stoke 3–1 Derby CountyAug 2025
Derby County 0–0 StokeMay 2025
Stoke 2–1 Derby CountyNov 2024