Championship
Stoke vs
Middlesbrough
28%Home win
29%Draw
43%Away win
Middlesbrough are narrow favourites (43%, under half) — Stoke 28%, draw 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Stoke 1.0 · Middlesbrough 1.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 41%Under 59%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
Stoke 1–2 MiddlesbroughJan 2026
Middlesbrough 0–0 StokeSep 2025
Stoke 1–3 MiddlesbroughFeb 2025
Middlesbrough 2–0 StokeSep 2024
Stoke 2–0 MiddlesbroughMar 2024
Middlesbrough 0–2 StokeOct 2023