Championship

Southampton vs
Stoke

64%Home win

21%Draw

15%Away win

We lean Southampton (64%) — draw 21%, Stoke 15%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Southampton 2.0 · Stoke 0.9

Over / Under 2.5

Over 56%Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%No 49%

Stoke 0–2 SouthamptonJan 2026

Southampton 1–2 StokeAug 2025

Southampton 0–1 StokeApr 2024

Stoke 0–1 SouthamptonOct 2023