Premier League
Bournemouth vs
Aston Villa
46%Home win
25%Draw
29%Away win
Bournemouth are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 25%, Aston Villa 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Bournemouth 1.8 · Aston Villa 1.4
Over / Under 2.5
Over 61%Under 39%
Both teams to score
Yes 63%No 37%
Bournemouth 1–1 Aston VillaFeb 2026
Aston Villa 4–0 BournemouthNov 2025
Bournemouth 0–1 Aston VillaMay 2025
Aston Villa 1–1 BournemouthOct 2024