Premier League

Chelsea vs
Leeds United

48%Home win

25%Draw

28%Away win

Chelsea are narrow favourites (48%, under half) — draw 25%, Leeds United 28%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Chelsea 1.8 · Leeds United 1.4

Over / Under 2.5

Over 62%Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%No 36%

Chelsea 2–2 Leeds UnitedFeb 2026

Leeds United 3–1 ChelseaDec 2025