Premier League
Aston Villa vs
Man City
29%Home win
26%Draw
46%Away win
Man City are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — Aston Villa 29%, draw 26%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Aston Villa 1.3 · Man City 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 60%Under 40%
Both teams to score
Yes 62%No 38%
Man City 1–2 Aston VillaMay 2026
Aston Villa 1–0 Man CityOct 2025
Man City 2–1 Aston VillaApr 2025
Aston Villa 2–1 Man CityDec 2024