Premier League
Aston Villa vs
Nottingham
49%Home win
26%Draw
25%Away win
Aston Villa are narrow favourites (49%, under half) — draw 26%, Nottingham 25%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Aston Villa 1.7 · Nottingham 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 56%Under 44%
Both teams to score
Yes 58%No 42%
Nottingham 1–1 Aston VillaApr 2026
Aston Villa 3–1 NottinghamJan 2026
Aston Villa 2–1 NottinghamApr 2025
Nottingham 2–1 Aston VillaDec 2024