Premier League

Brighton Hove vs
Aston Villa

42%Home win

27%Draw

31%Away win

Brighton Hove are narrow favourites (42%, under half) — draw 27%, Aston Villa 31%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Brighton Hove 1.6 · Aston Villa 1.3

Over / Under 2.5

Over 56%Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%No 40%

Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton HoveFeb 2026

Brighton Hove 3–4 Aston VillaDec 2025

Brighton Hove 0–3 Aston VillaApr 2025

Aston Villa 2–2 Brighton HoveDec 2024