Eredivisie

Ajax vs
Excelsior

66%Home win

21%Draw

12%Away win

We lean Ajax (66%) — draw 21%, Excelsior 12%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Ajax 2.2 · Excelsior 0.8

Over / Under 2.5

Over 57%Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%No 49%

Excelsior 2–2 AjaxFeb 2026

Ajax 1–2 ExcelsiorNov 2025