Eredivisie

Excelsior vs
Ajax

25%Home win

27%Draw

48%Away win

Ajax are narrow favourites (48%, under half) — Excelsior 25%, draw 27%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Excelsior 1.1 · Ajax 1.6

Over / Under 2.5

Over 52%Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%No 45%

Excelsior 2–2 AjaxFeb 2026

Ajax 1–2 ExcelsiorNov 2025