FIFA World Cuplow confidence
Spain vs
Argentina
41%Home win
30%Draw
29%Away win
Spain are narrow favourites (41%, under half) — draw 30%, Argentina 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Spain 1.4 · Argentina 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 49%Under 51%
Both teams to score
Yes 55%No 45%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.