FIFA World Cuplow confidence
France vs
England
45%Home win
28%Draw
27%Away win
France are narrow favourites (45%, under half) — draw 28%, England 27%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — France 1.7 · England 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 55%Under 45%
Both teams to score
Yes 59%No 41%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.